The ‘peaceful’ rise of Chinese imperialism

Submitted by WorldRevolution on May 5, 2008 - 21:26.
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Just a couple of years ago, China's President Hu Jintao promised a "peaceful rise" of his country onto the international arena. Many international observers and commentators were taken in by the Stalinist doublespeak from the military dictatorship of the People's Liberation Army and argued that China's economic ascension would make it a more reliable, responsible power for good in the world. Indeed, since the 1990s, with one or two notable exceptions, China has trod softly, softly. But the reality behind China's imperialist ‘peace' was underlined on 11 January 2007, when it shot down one of its own weather satellites 850 kilometres above the planet, directly positing a threat to American dependence on space-based capabilities around the world and triggering a new arms race. The aptly named Pentagon Strategy for Global Military Aggression had already singled out China as "having the greatest military potential to compete with the US and field disruptive military technologies that could over time offset traditional US advantage". The US military has since responded with its own anti-satellite tests and the Pentagon is assiduously following the recommendations of a 2001 Congressional Report advocating the development of "new military capabilities for operations to, from, in and through space" (co-author, Donald H. Rumsfeld).

There will be no peaceful development of China overall, no ‘force for peace and stability', but rather a development of good, old-fashioned militarism and imperialism. In the first place, the economic ‘miracle' of Chinese national capital is based on the ferocious exploitation of its working class and peasantry and on an export drive to a debt-sodden world economy. The economic colonisation that it is presently undertaking contains a strong geo-strategic element that projects Chinese power well beyond its borders. And while elements of this colonisation will provide some work for Chinese labour, unlike the colonisations of the 19th century, it will provide little economic stabilisation for its economy and even less reform or attenuation in the condition of its working class. Mao Zedong and his ideology are now a rather restricted taste but his dictum that "power grows out of the barrel of a gun" still holds good for Chinese, as well as imperialism in general.

This is even more the case within the post-89 world after the collapse of the Eastern Bloc and the free-for-all in military relations resulting from this descent into imperialist decomposition. No nation state can stand above it. After China resumed its threats against Taiwan and increasingly threatened Japan, both French and German diplomacy have been trying to overturn the arms embargo on the People's Liberation Army. Such developments show the contribution China is making to the deepening chaos in international relations. China has taken advantage of the new world disorder and the historic crisis of US imperialism in order to make its own imperialist thrust across the globe. It is profiting from the considerable weakening of the US at the imperialist level in order to develop its geo-strategic presence. Its appetites go well beyond the Taiwan Strait and a supposed ‘pacifist' Japan, which itself has rearmed and been ranked among the top five military powers in recent years, provoking a regional arms race with nuclear connotations.

China's policy to make Asia's seas its mare nostrum, keeping Japan at bay and excluding US military presence, is just one part of its project, which through Burma, Africa and Pakistan aims to extend its military power up to the Arabian Sea, on to the Persian Gulf and into the Middle East and Africa[1]. There have been press reports of China providing arms to the Taliban and its political reach extends to the USA's backyard of Latin America. It has also, along with Russia, taken advantage of certain US setbacks in the Russian ex-republics, strengthening relations with Uzbekistan for example. The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute recently stated that, in terms of purchasing power, China's defence budget is second only to the USA. The same Report expressed concern about China's increased strike capabilities and its intrusions into computer networks, including those of the US government.

To its south, China is largely underwriting the construction and development of an 1850 kilometre network of roads, rivers (blasting shallow sections of the Mekong) and ports, circumventing the natural defensive barriers of the foothills of the Himalayas. ‘Route 3', which directly connects Chinese Kunming to Thai Bangkok, also takes in the thinly inhabited upper reaches of Vietnam and Laos. As well as the markets and natural resources that it covets, the road is also an expression of the geo-strategic expansion of Chinese imperialism.

To its west, around India and Pakistan, important developments are also taking place within the framework of Chinese imperialism. As the United States and India enjoy an increasingly warmer relationship, Pakistan will look closer to China for military and technical assistance. China already supplies Pakistan with nuclear technology, including what many experts suspect was the blueprint for Pakistan's nuclear bomb. According to the Asian Studies department at the Brooking Institute: "The Pakistani nuclear programme is largely the result of Sino-Pakistani relations". Some news agency reports suggest that Chinese security agencies knew of the transfer of nuclear technology from Pakistan to Iran, North Korea and Libya, with the former having long-standing ties with Abdul Quadeer Khan, the so-called ‘father' of Pakistan's nuclear bomb. One of the most significant recent projects of the two imperialisms is the construction of a major port complex at the naval base of Gwadar on the Arabian Sea, giving China strategic access to the Persian Gulf and a naval outpost on the Indian Ocean.

China and the Nepali Maoists

Relations between China and India deteriorated after India gave refuge to the Dalai Lama in 1959 and after India's humiliating defeat in the 1962 war over a disputed border and Chinese aid to Pakistan. India still claims that China occupies 38,000 sq km of its territories and, for its part, Beijing still lays claim to the northeastern Indian province of Aranchal. It's in this context of inter-imperialist rivalries that the election of the Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist), a group that the US administration has designated ‘terrorist', must be situated. The previous Nepali regime gave India pre-eminence in imperialist relations and this must now be called into question. "Chief Comrade" Prachanda of the CPN (Maoist), has already called for the scrapping of all major agreements with India, underlined the need for good relations with China and supports China over Tibet. Tibetan refugees in Nepal must be in danger, as in neighbouring Bhutan, where Chinese affiliated Maoists are also active. The Institute of Conflict Management in Delhi says that a surge in Maoist violence in India itself can be expected as it expects the new Nepali regime to provide them with training facilities and safe havens.

Every capitalist nation talks peace. Throughout the 20th century every capitalist nation extolled the virtues of ‘peace', ‘stability' and ‘good relations', but all, caught up in the ineluctable irrationality of imperialism, actively prepared for and fomented war. Particularly today, in the conditions of growing imperialist chaos, there's no ‘peaceful rise' to Chinese imperialism and its pawns, but preparations for and developments towards war. Baboon, 22.4.8

 



[1] For Chinese imperialism in Africa see WR 299

 

CPI(M)

Oh, whenever I wrote CPI(M), I hope it was obvious that I was referring to the Communist Party of India (Maoist) - merger of the MCCI and the People's War Group types - not the Communist Party of India (Marxist), which began in a previous millennium as a somewhat left split from the Communist Party of India and which has spent much of its existence running the West Bengal government. And which is much more often referred to as the CPI(M) than the Maoists are - the latter usually abbreviated as the Communist Party of India (Maoist) to avoid precisely this confusion. My desire for abbreviation got the better of me.

Also, regarding the sentence: "By the end of 1995 the CPN(M) were preparing to launch 'people's war', having always boycotted what they saw as a stooge parliament decorating the power of the monarchy and military backed by India and the US." It was the monarchy and its military supporters/allies who were seen as backed by the US and India, not the stooge parliament.

Whether these forces actually were reliable backers of the King, or in fact would have liked some kind of stable, probably Congress-led government able to resolve the on-going crisis, became a much more complicated issue over the years than it seemed when the 'constitutional monarchy' was enjoying its early years.

Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist)

The Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) is not "Chinese affiliated" in any simple sense, though given their ever-increasing role in managing the reproduction of Nepal's political economy, surrounded by India and China, they may start to favour the agendas of the PRC more. Nonetheless, the CPN(M) has long defined itself as within a political tendency extremely critical of a contemporary China regarded as essentially a capitalist dictatorship, to the point of supporting anti-regime activities, in the name of authentic maoism of course. The Chinese regime itself actively supported the Nepalese state against the CPN(M), not even giving rhetorical support to the 'people's war' of the guerrillas. In practice the CPN(UML) was often much more overtly sympathetic to the PRC, but since it took a significant role much earlier in the responsible management of the Nepalese state this is no surprise, whatever the ostensible ideological positions.

Similarly, the most active armed maoist groups in India, and those closest to the CPN(M), are not "Chinese affiliated", the most obvious and significant example being the Communist Party of India (Maoist), formed out of the merger of two of the biggest of India's militant maoist groups and named precisely to indicate their supportive relations with the Nepalese party.

The rhetoric of the organized Left in Nepal is formed overwhelmingly in relation to maoist political traditions. Even apart from any domestic considerations of this overwhelmingly 'peasant' nation, Nepal is surrounded on one side by the People's Republic of China, and on the other by parts of India in which radicalism exists in the shadow of the mass rebellion of Naxalbari.

Indeed, the interrelation of Nepalese and Indian maoists is long-standing; the ability of people to pass over the border in either direction has been significant, not least when the King of Nepal decides to try to save his monarchy by sealing the country off from the outside world, preventing any critic from legally traveling, cutting the net, seizing as much of communications as possible, etcetera - but also to organize relations of solidarity in India, a country which the CPN(M) anticipated might militarily intervene to prevent the military victory of the guerrillas in Nepal. It is not so many years ago that the two previously referred to armed Indian maoist groups, long hostile with one another to the point of sometimes murderous violence, joined together to form the CPI(M).

All this maoism is not a homogenous phenomenon, and certainly not simple identifiable with the Chinese regime: in Nepal, as elsewhere, it is a name covering a massive political spectrum. Because they are by far the two most prominent parties of the Left, the most obvious example is the differences between the soft euromaoism of the dominant tendencies within the Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist Leninist) on the one hand, and the 'people's war' strategy of the CPN(M) - though back in the struggles against the absolute monarchy in the 1980s many of the same people were in the same party. Differences came to the fore and led to this form of division as people in that 'democracy movement' pursued different paths in response to the creation of a kind of constitutional monarchy. The CPN(UML) decided to run for parliament and eventually attempt to become an elected government, adopting a legal strategy based around mass organisations of peasants, worker, students etctera. By the end of 1995 they were wishing the King a happy birthday.

By the end of 1995 the CPN(M) were preparing to launch 'people's war', having always boycotted what they saw as a stooge parliament decorating the power of the monarchy and military backed by India and the US. The CPN(M) started out sufficiently small that some CPN(UML) members argued that they shouldn't be taken seriously, that their rebellions should be treated as purely criminal matters, and that it would all soon be crushed. A decade later the CPN(M) had well over half the geography of Nepal, was constructing a capital for the 'new state', had tens of thousands of guerrillas and enormous mass organisations, was dealing with the problems of running half a country cut while off from much of the world and Nepal's primary industry (tourism), and was listed by the US as a terrorist organization - still is.

So within Nepalese maoism those parties more-or-less define the spectrum of legal-illegal strategies, with the Nepal Workers and Peasants Party falling some where between but closer to the UML, having people in parliament but being more vigorous in calling for the end of the monarchy and considering more direct methods to achieve this, etcetera.

The CPN(UML) still had portraits of Marx, Engels, Lenin, Stalin and Mao behind the speakers at its conferences and events, but no longer was so keen to refer to itself as specifically maoist. By contrast, the CPN(M) was long very critical of the Chinese regime but unabashedly maoist, and used the last couple of years to have a series of internal discussions leading to its controversial public statement attempting a provisional critique of Stalin and stalinism tout court, with an acknowledgment that further work needed to be done. This led to significant and public disagreement between the CPN(M) and the CPI(M), and many in RIM, with the Indian party in particular largely rejecting the attempted critique of stalinism.

Disputes between the two parties escalated as the CPN(M) then decided to a ceasefire and then to participate in the elections to the Constitutional Assembly, so long as the latter very directly put the question of the abolition of the monarchy on the table - a key political demand and also a smart one because the CPN(M) were the only major party which never wavered from their hostility to the institution of the monarchy and its current, mostly despised resident of the throne.

This little sketch of maoist ideology in Nepal is pretty crude, but what I would want to emphasize is not merely the political spectrum involved, but the evolving nature of maoist discourses, dotted with appeals to divergent versions of orthodoxy and with claims of innovation and development. As ways to understand politics and history, and as discourses mediating relations within movements and organizations, Maoism in a broad sense is hegemonic, but neither homogenous, nor unidirectional from leaders to members, party elite to masses. If there is a tendency to quasi-totalitarianism which would seek to simply prevent or crush all contestation, it has certainly not achieved dominance. Authoritarianism, and certainly hierarchy, are nonetheless significant, and even at its most militant, anti-feudal, and most committed to forms of 'popular power' as forms of social and economic management, the entire spectrum of maoist ideology remains on the terrain of a leftist capitalism. Whether the practices of people in struggle excede these bounds, or more accurately to what degree and with what development of clarity and what consequences, is much harder to tell. But I'm not optimistic.

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