is the communist tendency pre-determined as success / failure

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lem_
is the communist tendency pre-determined as success / failure
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i just wondered, whether (at least upon the creation of (scientific?) marxism) the future is set.

i suppose that it isn't, ignoring the strange extra sensory quality this grants philosophizing (which ignores chance events: napolean falls off his horse) i suppose that marxism is an activity not an idea, even that is in the creation of the idea of (this marxist) "activity".